Related: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/715713, estimates the annual cost of crime in the US as ~$5 trillion including transfers from victims to criminals and ~$3 trillion net of transfers, or ~$16,000 per American including transfers / ~$10,000 net of transfers.
Might this just be a proxy for population density? Crime needs victims; more dense means more victims means more crimes. More dense also means more jobs, and it makes sense that blacks would migrate to places with jobs. Richer people (often whiter) can afford to relocate to avoid crime, hence white flight. Don’t whites commit 50-70% of crimes (maybe you think arrests data is biased) and also whites aren’t more likely to be victimized by other whites? It seems wrong to attribute all of this to the presence of blacks. Maybe you’re saying the influx of blacks made whites more precarious and also drove them to increased criminality, but… that seems pretty tenuous. The stuff about other races not seeing similar effects is interesting but I wonder if there are temporal factors here; I didn’t think black and asian migrations happened at the same times in major cities but can look.
Geoffrey west has work that show there are also agglomeration effects for crime in large cities too. I wonder if that was included in the model what would happen, if we expect murders to be higher and the elasticity metric, it may be even worse if adjusting for that.
Are there studies on how much homeless encampments (and related things that would fall under 'disorder' rather than 'crime') hurt agglomeration?
There aren't, but there should be. Seems like a topic Charles Lehman would be interested in.
Related: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/715713, estimates the annual cost of crime in the US as ~$5 trillion including transfers from victims to criminals and ~$3 trillion net of transfers, or ~$16,000 per American including transfers / ~$10,000 net of transfers.
Unpaywalled version: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/358417739_The_Aggregate_Cost_of_Crime_in_the_United_States.
Cited in the replication package!
Might this just be a proxy for population density? Crime needs victims; more dense means more victims means more crimes. More dense also means more jobs, and it makes sense that blacks would migrate to places with jobs. Richer people (often whiter) can afford to relocate to avoid crime, hence white flight. Don’t whites commit 50-70% of crimes (maybe you think arrests data is biased) and also whites aren’t more likely to be victimized by other whites? It seems wrong to attribute all of this to the presence of blacks. Maybe you’re saying the influx of blacks made whites more precarious and also drove them to increased criminality, but… that seems pretty tenuous. The stuff about other races not seeing similar effects is interesting but I wonder if there are temporal factors here; I didn’t think black and asian migrations happened at the same times in major cities but can look.
Agglomeration? It's about density, and the Great Migration reduced said density.
13/50
Geoffrey west has work that show there are also agglomeration effects for crime in large cities too. I wonder if that was included in the model what would happen, if we expect murders to be higher and the elasticity metric, it may be even worse if adjusting for that.
Check the links in the article to see this answered!