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Wachmeister's avatar

yes the guy with a PhD in Biophysics has no idea how biology works lol

Cremieux's avatar

Did you actually think that was a substantive comment?

RoyalScam's avatar

I think the author makes some fair points about Anthropic’s biology claims, benchmarks, and biosecurity rhetoric. I am not sure I agree with all of them, but they are debatable and worth taking seriously.

Where I disagree is with the framing of Dario Amodei as somehow deserving this. Dario has been clear and public about his concerns. Maybe he is right, maybe he is too cautious, and maybe Anthropic deserves criticism on execution. But he has behaved in a principled way.

The Fable and Mythos 5 order looks heavy-handed, and it has the feel of singling out one of the few AI billionaires who has not bent the knee to Trump. Criticize Anthropic’s claims if warranted, but the bigger concern, in my opinion, is the Trump administration using state power in a blunt and politically suspicious way.

PatrickB's avatar

Thank you so much for posting this essay! I used to work in a biology lab and, at a gut level, I have never agreed with the Yud take along the lines that, "AGI will make a virus to kill everyone." But also, I wasnt smart enough to explain my sense in words. Like the author said, the claim is so baseless and wrong that it's hard to even know where to begin. YES: "Dario’s writing is all premised on some tacit assumption that performance on these tasks can in some sense be dramatically improved with sufficient supply of cognitive labor."

Also, I don't agree with what Trump did but it is 100% hilarious that the big brains (human and otherwise) at Anthropic didn't see Trump's action coming. Maybe they should have asked Mythos? If Mythos is so smart, shouldn't it have been able to game out the consequences of fearmongering about its capabilities? Why didn't it come up with an effective plan to prevent Trump to issuing the export ban? Surely, once the all-wise Mythos identified the risk of an export ban, it could have suggested helpful changes to Dario's ridiculous behavior, suggestions that would have both been effective and been likely accepted by Dario. Isn't that what recursive self-improvement would require? It's almost as if the events of the past couple days show the limits of cognitive labor.